2016 Northern Ireland Assembly election






Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2016



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All 108 seats to the Northern Ireland Assembly
55 seats were needed for a majority
Turnout54.9%[1] (Decrease0.8%)





































































































































 
First party
Second party
Third party
 

Arlene Foster

Martin McGuiness

Mike Nesbitt
Leader

Arlene Foster

Martin McGuinness

Mike Nesbitt
Party

DUP

Sinn Féin

UUP
Leader since
17 December 2015
8 May 2007
31 March 2012
Leader's seat

Fermanagh and South Tyrone

Foyle

Strangford
Last election
38 seats, 30.0%
29 seats, 26.9%
16 seats, 13.2%
Seats won

38
28
16
Seat change
Steady
Decrease1
Steady
Popular vote

202,567
166,785
87,302
Percentage

29.2%
24.0%
12.6%
Swing

Decrease0.8%

Decrease2.9%

Decrease0.6%

 
Fourth party
Fifth party
Sixth party
 

Colum Eastwood

David Ford

Steven Agnew
Leader

Colum Eastwood

David Ford

Steven Agnew
Party

SDLP

Alliance

Green (NI)
Leader since
14 November 2015
6 October 2001
10 January 2011
Leader's seat

Foyle

South Antrim

North Down
Last election
14 seats, 14.2%
8 seats, 7.7%
1 seat, 0.9%
Seats won
12
8
2
Seat change

Decrease2
Steady
Increase1
Popular vote
83,364
48,447
18,718
Percentage
12.0%
7.0%
2.7%
Swing

Decrease2.2%

Decrease0.7%

Increase1.8%

 
Seventh party
Eighth party
 

Eamonn McCann.jpg

Jim Allister
Leader

Eamonn McCann [2]

Jim Allister
Party

People Before Profit

TUV
Leader since
N/A
7 December 2007
Leader's seat

Foyle

North Antrim
Last election
0 seats, 0.8%
1 seat, 2.4%
Seats won
2
1
Seat change

Increase2
Steady
Popular vote
13,761
23,776
Percentage
2.0%
3.4%
Swing

Increase1.2%

Increase1.0%


Northern Ireland Assembly Election 2016 - Results by Constituency.svg
Seats won by each party per constituency. Voters elect 6 assembly members from the 18 constituencies.






First Minister and deputy First Minister before election

Arlene Foster (DUP) &
Martin McGuinness (SF)



First Minister and deputy First Minister
after election

Arlene Foster (DUP) &
Martin McGuinness (SF)


The 2016 election to the Northern Ireland Assembly was held on 5 May 2016. It was the fifth election to take place since the devolved assembly was established in 1998. 1,281,595 individuals were registered to vote in the election (representing an increase of 5.9% compared to the previous Assembly election).[3] Turnout in the 2016 Assembly election was 703,744 (54.9%), a decline of less than one percentage point from the previous Assembly Election in 2011, but down 15 percentage points from the first election to the Assembly held in 1998.[4]


As in the 2007 and 2011 elections, the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin won the most seats, with the DUP winning 38 and Sinn Féin winning 28 of the available 108 seats. The Ulster Unionist Party won 16 seats, the Social Democratic and Labour Party 12 and the Alliance 8, while two seats were won by the Green Party and People Before Profit. The Traditional Unionist Voice and an independent candidate each won one seat.




Contents





  • 1 Change of date


  • 2 End of dual mandate


  • 3 Earlier dissolution

    • 3.1 Dissolution motion


    • 3.2 Failure to elect the First or deputy First Ministers


    • 3.3 New Executive Departments



  • 4 Candidates


  • 5 Members not seeking re-election

    • 5.1 Alliance


    • 5.2 DUP


    • 5.3 NI21


    • 5.4 SDLP


    • 5.5 Sinn Féin


    • 5.6 UUP


    • 5.7 UKIP



  • 6 Results

    • 6.1 Voting summary


    • 6.2 Seats summary


    • 6.3 Distribution of seats by constituency


    • 6.4 Share of first-preference votes



  • 7 Incumbents defeated

    • 7.1 Sinn Féin


    • 7.2 Democratic Unionist Party


    • 7.3 Ulster Unionist Party


    • 7.4 Social Democratic and Labour Party


    • 7.5 Independent



  • 8 Opinion Polling


  • 9 References




Change of date


Under the Northern Ireland Act 1998, elections to the Assembly were originally for a four-year term; thus there would have been an election due in May 2015, four years after the 2011 election. Following the introduction of the UK Fixed Term Parliaments Act, this date would have clashed with the 2015 UK general election.[5] The Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly elections were postponed for a year to 2016 to avoid this clash.[6]


In May 2013, Theresa Villiers, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, announced the next Assembly election would be postponed to May 2016, and would be held at fixed intervals of five years thereafter.[7] Section 7 of the Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014 specifies that elections will be held on the first Thursday in May on the fifth (rather than fourth, as previously) calendar year following that in which its predecessor was elected.[8]



End of dual mandate


The Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014 also ends the practice of dual mandate, prohibiting someone being elected to the assembly who is also a member of the House of Commons or Dáil Éireann.[8] At the time the Act was passed, there were three such dual-members: the DUP's Sammy Wilson (MP for East Antrim and MLA for East Antrim) and Gregory Campbell (MP for East Londonderry and MLA for East Londonderry) and the SDLP's Alasdair McDonnell (MP for Belfast South and MLA for Belfast South).[9] Wilson and McDonnell resigned from the Assembly after being re-elected to the House of Commons in the 2015 election. Campbell, who was also re-elected as an MP, is retiring from the Assembly at this election.[10]



Earlier dissolution


There are several circumstances in which the Assembly could be dissolved before the date scheduled by virtue of section 31(1) of the Northern Ireland Act 1998.



Dissolution motion


Under section 32 of the 1998 Act, the Assembly can be dissolved if a resolution to such an effect is passed by the Assembly, with support of 72 or more members.[citation needed]



Failure to elect the First or deputy First Ministers


The Act provides that if the Assembly fails to elect either the First Minister or deputy First Minister within six weeks, an election is called. Since the enactment of the Northern Ireland (St Andrews Agreement) Act 2006, the First Minister has been nominated by the largest party overall, and the deputy First Minister has been nominated by the single largest party in the largest community designation ("Nationalist", "Unionist" or "Other") to which the largest party overall does not belong.[citation needed]



New Executive Departments


It was proposed[11] that after the May 2016 Election there be a reduction in the number of ministries and departments. The amendments were:


  • The Office of the First Minister and deputy First Minister is renamed the Executive Office

  • The Department of Agriculture and Rural Development is renamed the Department of Agriculture, Environment and Rural Affairs

  • The Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment is renamed the Department for the Economy

  • The Department of Finance and Personnel is renamed the Department of Finance

  • The Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety is renamed the Department of Health

  • The Department for Regional Development is renamed the Department for Infrastructure

  • The Department for Social Development is renamed the Department for Communities

  • The Department of Justice remains unchanged Department of Justice (Northern Ireland)

  • The Department of Culture, Arts and Leisure is dissolved

  • The Department of the Environment is dissolved

  • The Department for Employment and Learning is dissolved

° The Department of Education remains the same.



Candidates


Nominations opened on 30 March 2016 for the assembly election.[12] A full list of candidates is available.[13][14]


Parties standing in more than one constituency were:



  • Democratic Unionist Party

  • Sinn Féin

  • Ulster Unionist Party

  • Social Democratic and Labour Party

  • Alliance


  • Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV)

  • Green Party

  • Progressive Unionist Party

  • People Before Profit Alliance

  • UKIP

  • Cannabis is Safer Than Alcohol

  • Conservative

  • Northern Ireland Labour Representation Committee

  • Cross-Community Labour Alternative

  • The Workers Party


Various independents and smaller parties also stood.



Members not seeking re-election



Alliance



  • Judith Cochrane (Belfast East)[15]


  • Anna Lo (Belfast South)[16]


  • Kieran McCarthy (Strangford)[17]


DUP



  • Gregory Campbell (East Londonderry)[10]


  • Stephen Moutray (Upper Bann)[18]


  • Peter Robinson (Belfast East)[19]


NI21



  • Basil McCrea (Lagan Valley)[20]


SDLP



  • Dominic Bradley (Newry and Armagh)[21]


  • John Dallat (East Londonderry)[22]


  • Alban Maginness (Belfast North)[23]


Sinn Féin



  • Bronwyn McGahan (Fermanagh and South Tyrone)[24]


  • Mitchel McLaughlin (South Antrim)[25]


UUP



  • Leslie Cree (North Down)[26]


  • Sam Gardiner (Upper Bann)[27]


  • Michael McGimpsey (Belfast South)[28]


UKIP



  • David McNarry (Strangford)[29]


Results



















































































































































































































































































Party
Leader
Seats
Votes
Seats
Candi-
dates
won
Change
from
2011
First
Preference
votes
First
Pref. %
Change
from
2011
on NI Execu-
tive
Change
from
2015


DUP

Arlene Foster
44

38
0
202,567
29.2%
-0.8%

5
+1


Sinn Féin

Gerry Adams
39

28
-1
166,785
24.0%
-2.9%

4
+1


UUP

Mike Nesbitt
33

16
0
87,302
12.6%
-0.6%
0
-1


SDLP

Colum Eastwood
24

12
-2
83,368
12.0%
-2.2%
0
-1


Alliance

David Ford
23

8
0
48,447
7.0%
-0.7%
0
-1


TUV

Jim Allister
15

1
0
23,776
3.4%
+1.0%
-
-


Green (NI)

Steven Agnew
18

2
+1
18,718
2.7%
+1.8%
-
-


People Before Profit

Eamonn McCann
3

2
+2
13,761
2.0%
+1.2%
-
-


UKIP

Nigel Farage
13
-

10,109
1.5%
+0.8%




PUP

Billy Hutchinson
6
-

5,955
0.9%
+0.3%




NI Conservatives

David Cameron
12
-

2,554
0.4%

N/A




CISTA
Paul Birch
4
-

2,510
0.4%

N/A




Labour Alternative
Owen McCracken
3
-

1,939
0.3%

N/A




NI Labour[30]
Kathryn Johnston
8
-

1,577
0.2%

N/A




Workers' Party

John Lowry
4
-

1,565
0.2%
±0.0


South Belfast Unionists

William Dickson
1
-

351
0.0%

N/A




Animal Welfare

Vanessa Hudson
1
-

224
0.0%

N/A


Democracy First
Frazer McCammond
1
-

124
0.0%

N/A


Northern Ireland First
Geoff Dowey
1
-

32
0.0%

N/A




Independents

N/A
23

1
0
22,650
3.3%
+0.9%
1
+1

Seats total and Valid Votes



108
 

694,314

98.7%


10
-

Invalid Votes



 

9,430

1.3%




Total valid poll



 

703,744

100.0%




Electorate and turnout



 

1,281,595

54.9%



Notes:

Results from Raymond Russell, "Election Report: Northern Ireland Assembly Election, 5 May 2016", Northern Ireland Assembly
  • Total valid poll 703,744. Electorate: 1,281,595; turnout: 54.9%.


Voting summary













































First preference vote
DUP
29.2%
Sinn Féin
24.0%
UUP
12.6%
SDLP
12.0%
Alliance
7.0%
TUV
3.4%
Green (NI)
2.7%
PBPA
2.0%
UKIP
1.5%
PUP
0.9%
Others
1.6%
Independent
3.3%


Seats summary




































Assembly seats
DUP
35.2%
Sinn Féin
25.9%
UUP
14.8%
SDLP
11.1%
Alliance
7.4%
Green (NI)
1.9%
PBPA
1.9%
TUV
0.9%
Independent
0.9%


Distribution of seats by constituency


Party affiliation of the six Assembly members returned by each constituency. The first column indicates the party of the Member of the House of Commons (MP) returned by the corresponding parliamentary constituency in the general election of 7 May 2015 (under the "first past the post" method).


(The constituencies are arranged here in rough geographical order around Lough Neagh from Antrim to Londonderry. To see them in alphabetical order, click the small square icon after "Constituency"; to restore this geographical order, click the icon after "No." at the left.)


















































































































































































































































































































































































































































No.
2015 MP
Constituency
Candi-
dates
Total
seats
PBP
Green
Sinn
Féin
SDLP
Alli-
ance
UUP
DUP
TUV
Ind.
Seat
gained
by
Seat
formerly
held by
1
DUP
North Antrim-6--1--131---
2
DUP
East Antrim-6--1-113----
3
UUP
South Antrim-6--1-113----
4
DUP
Belfast North-6--21--3----
5

SF
Belfast West-61-41-----PBPSF
6
SDLP
Belfast South-6-1111-2--

Green

DUP


SDLP

UUP

7
DUP
Belfast East-6----213----
8
Ind.
North Down-6-1--113----
9
DUP
Strangford-6----123----
10
DUP
Lagan Valley-6----123--UUPDUP
11
DUP
Upper Bann-6--2--22--SFSDLP
12
SDLP
South Down-6--22-11----
13

SF
Newry and Armagh-6--31-11----
14
UUP
Fermanagh & South Tyrone-6--21-12--SDLPSF
15

SF
West Tyrone-6--31-11----
16

SF
Mid Ulster-6--31-11----
17
SDLP
Foyle-61-22--1--PBPSDLP
18
DUP
East Londonderry-6--11--3-1--
18Total-1082228128163811
 Change since dissolution--+2+1–1–2-+3--–1–1–1
 Assembly at dissolution-108-1291481338121 UKIP
1 NI21
 Change during Assembly term-------–3--+1+1+1
 Elected on 5 May 2011218108-129148163811-
 Elected on 7 March 2007256108-1281671836-11 Prog. U.

 Elected on 23 November 2003108--241862730-11 Prog. U.
1 UKUP

 Elected on 25 June 1998108--182462820-42 Prog. U.
5 UKUP, 2 NIWC
  • Three of the four independents elected in 1998 ran as Independent Unionists

  • NIWC = Northern Ireland Women's Coalition; Prog. U. = Progressive Unionist Party; TUV = Traditional Unionist Voice; UKUP = United Kingdom Unionist Party


Share of first-preference votes


Percentage of each constituency's first-preference votes. Four highest percentages in each constituency shaded; absolute majorities underlined. The constituencies are arranged in the geographic order described for the table above; click the icon next to "Constituency" to see them in alphabetical order.


  • [The totals given here are the sum of all valid ballots cast in each constituency, and the percentages are based on such totals. The turnout percentages in the last column, however, are based upon all ballots cast, which also include anything from twenty to a thousand invalid ballots in each constituency. The total valid ballots' percentage of the eligible electorate can correspondingly differ by 0.1% to 2% from the turnout percentage.]









































































































































































































































































































































































































































No.
2015
MP
MP's %
of 2015
vote
Constituency
PBP
Green
Sinn
Féin
SDLP
Alli-
ance
UUP
DUP
TUV
Ind.
Others.
Total
votes
Eligible
elector-
ate
Turn-
out
 %
1DUP43.2%North Antrim1.312.97.53.210.743.117.93.3--52.3%
2DUP36.1%East Antrim2.18.13.814.620.236.15.19.9--50.5%
3UUP32.7%South Antrim1.713.29.68.922.237.53.81.41.7--50.4%
4DUP47.0%Belfast North3.52.226.510.67.05.435.01.80.97.1--51.6%
5SF54.2%Belfast West22.90.954.57.30.81.810.41.5--56.7%
6SDLP24.5%Belfast South9.614.220.016.46.722.01.31.38.5--53.6%
7DUP49.3%Belfast East5.92.50.428.711.136.72.43.09.4--56.5%
8Ind.49.2%North Down12.71.01.316.815.541.71.94.44.7--49.0%
9DUP44.4%Strangford2.82.08.310.719.543.04.35.93.4--49.7%
10DUP47.9%Lagan Valley2.92.77.59.521.247.23.32.13.6--52.7%
11DUP32.7%Upper Bann1.124.99.53.121.631.12.60.16.0--53.6%
12SDLP42.3%South Down2.031.131.45.48.512.36.62.8--53.1%
13SF41.1%Newry & Armagh0.740.918.21.014.116.75.52.9--58.4%
14UUP46.4%Fermanagh & S. Tyrone1.940.08.51.112.832.72.50.6--63.5%
15SF43.5%West Tyrone1.242.011.01.311.422.08.92.1--59.1%
16SF48.7%Mid Ulster0.946.715.21.211.918.14.61.4--57.9%
17SDLP47.9%Foyle10.50.428.530.00.63.611.913.90.8--55.3%
18DUP42.2%East Londonderry1.321.89.53.78.336.83.59.75.4--50.1%
18Northern Ireland2.02.724.012.07.012.629.23.43.93.3703,7441,281,59554.9%
Change since 2011+1.2+1.8–2.9–2.2–0.7–0.6–0.8+1.0+1.7+1.0+42,008+71,586–0.7%
Election of May 20110.926.914.27.713.230.02.52.22.3661,7361,210,00955.6%
Election of March 20071.726.215.25.214.930.1-3.82.8690,3131,107,90462.9%
Election of Nov. 20030.423.517.03.722.725.7-5.62.8692,0261,097,52663.1%
Election of June 19980.117.622.06.521.318.1-10.93.5823,5651,178,55669.9%

  • Independent Unionist vote in 1998 (2.8%) included in the Independent column (not "others"). TUV = Traditional Unionist Voice.


Incumbents defeated



Sinn Féin



  • Rosie McCorley — Belfast West


  • Maeve McLaughlin — Foyle


  • Cathal Ó hOisín — East Londonderry


  • Phil Flanagan — Fermanagh and South Tyrone


Democratic Unionist Party



  • Jonathan Craig — Lagan Valley


  • Ian McCrea — Mid Ulster


  • David McIlveen — North Antrim


Ulster Unionist Party



  • Alastair Patterson — Fermanagh and South Tyrone


  • Adrian Cochrane-Watson - South Antrim


Social Democratic and Labour Party



  • Dolores Kelly — Upper Bann


  • Gerard Diver — Foyle


  • Karen McKevitt — South Down (stood in Newry and Armagh)


  • Fearghal McKinney — Belfast South


  • Seán Rogers — South Down


Independent



  • John McCallister — South Down


Opinion Polling


























































































































Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeDUPSFSDLPUUPAllianceTUVGreenOthersLead
30 Mar – 1 Apr 2016Lucid Talk/Belfast Telegraph97026.5%25.8%11.9%15.6%8.1%4.1%2.6%5.4%
0.7%
8–12 Feb 2016Lucid Talk/Belfast Telegraph2,88626.6%24.6%11.2%14.5%8.2%3.5%2.6%8.8%
2.0%
19–21 Oct 2015Lucid Talk/Belfast Telegraph2,51725.8%25.4%10.8%15.0%7.6%3.2%2.4%9.8%
0.4%
7 May 2015General Election Results718,51225.7%24.5%13.9%16.0%8.6%2.3%1.0%8.0%
1.2%
22 May 20142014 Local Election Results627,77723.1%24.1%13.6%16.2%6.7%4.5%0.9%10.9%
1.0%
22 May 20142014 European Election Results626,12520.9%25.5%13.0%13.3%7.1%12.1%1.7%6.3%
4.6%
Sep 2013Lucid Talk/Belfast TelegraphN/A29.3%26.1%13.8%10.8%10.2%2.2%1.3%6.3%
3.2%
Jan 2013IPSOS-MORI/BBC1,04624%23%19%13%10%11%
1%
5 May 2011Assembly Election Results661,73629.3%26.3%13.9%12.9%7.7%2.4%0.9%6.6%
3.0%


References




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  26. ^ "Veteran independent councillor Alan Chambers joins UUP". BelfastTelegraph.co.uk.


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  28. ^ "Michael McGimpsey to stand down from Northern Ireland Assembly". BBC News Online. Archived from the original on 19 February 2016. Retrieved 7 May 2016.


  29. ^ "#EURef Leave campaigns at the UKIP Northern Ireland conference #UKIPNI15". Slugger O'Toole. Archived from the original on 23 April 2016. Retrieved 7 May 2016.


  30. ^ (standing as NI Labour Representation Committee)










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